Sandown 1:45 Result
Trainor Stone & Tile Marble Handicap Stakes
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 420564 | — | |||
| 2 | — | -23244 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 141446 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionArdnamurchanConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Ardnamurchan is a lightly-raced 3yo filly with a strong recent form line of 41 - a win last time out and previously a 4th, suggesting improvement and a filly on the up. She carries a big weight (137lbs, OR70) which reflects a genuine rating, but she's clearly progressive and trained by Henry Candy, a canny operator with sprinters at this level. Nicola Currie's booking adds confidence. Draw 9 is workable at Sandown's 5f course. Her main market rival Level Up (OR70, form 221671) has been racing/placing consistently but is older (7) and already exposed at this level - his profile looks more solidly "what you see is what you get" rather than progressive. Ardnamurchan looks the type to still be leniently treated off just two runs, and a facing softer/similar rated rivals she can defy the big weight on quick improvement. Zoustar Dreams (Oisin Murphy up) is interesting but her form (141446) shows some inconsistency after an early break, and the switch to handicap company at this class is unproven. Overall Ardnamurchan's trajectory (last-time win, dropping in from a maiden/novice grade potentially) and stable/jockey combo give her the best combination of proven placing ability and untapped potential, making her the value angle over the more exposed favourite-class rivals.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | 6 | 55 | 420538 | — | |||
| 12 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 253855 | — | |||
| 2 | 9 | ★ | 3 | 70 | 41 | — | ||
| Ardnamurchan is a lightly-raced 3yo filly with a strong recent form line of 41 - a win last time out and previously a 4th, suggesting improvement and a filly on the up. | ||||||||
| 3 | 2 | ✓ | 9 | 68 | 420564 | — | ||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 68 | 141446 | — | |||
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 67 | 722533 | — | |||
| 6 | 1 | 3 | 66 | -23244 | — | |||
| 7 | 11 | 8 | 63 | 715155 | — | |||
| 8 | 4 | 3 | 56 | -78039 | — | |||
| 9 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 5-7524 | — | |||
| NR | 6 | 3 | 56 | 235135 | — | |||
| NR | 12 | 7 | 70 | 221671 | — | |||