Nottingham 1:23 Result

Small four-runner maiden sprint. Caelum debuted with a solid runner-up effort (form figure "2") for a powerful Kevin Ryan yard, who excels with juvenile sprinters, and he's by Minzaal out of a Kodiac mare - a pedigree built for speed over this minimum trip. Kevin Stott takes the ride, a strong booking for a yard that is clearly confident given the promising first start. Top weight at 133lbs reflects that form. The two confirmed form rivals, Crimson Blaze and Viking Barbie, have both had plenty of chances (six and six runs respectively) without winning, showing modest ability (OR 64 and 69) and are more exposed - their pattern of minor-placed finishes suggests they are not progressing into winners. Runaway Lucy has only an 8th-place finish to show and looks the most unproven of all. Caelum looks the one with most improvement in him on a solid educational run, and with a class Ryan/Stott combination this looks a good opportunity to go one better. The field is small enough that pace and draw bias are less of a concern, and Caelum's debut form stacks up as the best form on offer.