Newmarket 4:20 Result

This looks a modest staying handicap and Squire Danagher's recent form stands out: two wins figured in "711/19" with the most recent efforts strong, and the addition of first-time-look cheekpieces alongside a booking for Hector Crouch (Lavelle stable clearly targeting this) suggests they mean business. He carries top weight jointly with Gooloogong (both OR 89) but his form trajectory (711) shows he's progressive and handles this trip well over middle-distance staying tests, a hallmark of the Australia sire-line for effective 2m types. Gooloogong's form figures (-14631) are more mixed with inconsistency, and while he has more experience at 2m+ trips, the switch/gaps in his sequence make him slightly less reliable than Squire Danagher's recent upward curve. Percy Shelley (2-4624) is more of an each-way type but lacks the polish, and Appier/Premiere Ligne/Rogue Empire are dropping in class or unproven at this trip with lower OR ratings (78, 75, 73), making them workmanlike rather than winning material in this field. The concentration on Squire Danagher's fitness (ran 20 days ago, freshened up), suitable equipment change, and quality conditioning from Lavelle's yard (excellent with stayers) gives him the est profile to win. He looks the horse to beat on beaten-favorite meets recent-form logic, and I expect market support to reflect that, but there's still value given the joint-topweight tag may put some off backing him outright.