Listowel 2:23 Result

In a very weak, wide-open 17-runner maiden with plenty of no-form/lightly raced types, Keogie stands out as the only runner with a proven, progressive form line and a rated 76 - by far the strongest on offer here. His figures show consistent placed efforts (203862) and he was last seen finishing 2nd just 20 days ago, suggesting he's fit, in form and improving. Noel Meade knows how to place these and Adam Caffrey takes the ride. Casamorati (72 OR) is the closest on class but his profile (898263) shows more inconsistency and he's stepping up in class-context slightly worse than Keogie's recent placing. None of the unraced or single-run horses (Abair Faic, Storm Ready, Abiding Memory, Crosborderalliance) have the acid test of running against these two proven types, and while some carry decent pedigrees (Galileo Gold, Wootton Bassett, Night Of Thunder), it's a big leap of faith to back blind confidence over solid recent form in a maiden this weak. Draw 3 is workable, and with a mile trip suiting a stayer-type profile shown by his placed efforts, Keogie gets the vote as the most solid, proven contender in a race lacking depth.