Lingfield (AW) 4:00 Result
Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 0-3250 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 217805 | — | |||
| 3 | — | -11314 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionLaw Of AverageConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Law Of Average's recent form reads -11314, showing consistent placing and winning form, including a recent win and a 3rd/4th, all at competitive level. He carries top weight (134lbs) justified by his OR of 90, matching the race's highest-rated runners. His trainer Chelsea Banham has been in good form with sprint handicappers on the AW, and Joey Haynes is a capable jockey who knows the track. Draw 8 is workable at Lingfield 5f, not disadvantaged. Compared to Spartan Arrow (also OR 90 but recent form 880770 - well below par, seemingly out of form) and Dandana (progressive but stepping up in class/trip questions as a 3yo filly against experienced geldings), Law Of Average looks the most solid and in-form of the top-rated trio. Regal Envoy's 217805 shows fading form recently. Solar Edge (5-1271) is interesting with a recent win but is unproven at this class level consistently. Overall, Law Of Average combines the right blend of proven current form, matching class/weight, and stable/jockey confidence, making him the most reliable win bet in a competitive, workmanlike sprint handicap.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 90 | /2-100 | — | |||
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 87 | 29-340 | — | |||
| 2 | 8 | ★ | 5 | 90 | -11314 | — | ||
| Law Of Average's recent form reads -11314, showing consistent placing and winning form, including a recent win and a 3rd/4th, all at competitive level. | ||||||||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 90 | 880770 | — | |||
| 4 | 2 | 7 | 89 | 217805 | — | |||
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 90 | 40-042 | — | |||
| 6 | 6 | ✓ | 6 | 87 | 0-3250 | — | ||
| 7 | 5 | 4 | 87 | 5-1271 | — | |||
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 87 | 086045 | — | |||
| 9 | 1 | 6 | 86 | 567184 | — | |||