Lingfield (AW) 7:05 Result

Private Project's form figures 630931 show a horse in strong current form culminating in a recent win, and she's racing at a suitable low weight off OR51 which looks lenient given the trajectory. Regular racing (27 days since last run, consistent campaign) with a proven ability to win at this class level suggests she's going the right way. The other market players like Meritocratic, Bosom Pals and Thisonesforyou are all top-weighted at 135lbs off OR60 but their recent form (5355, 10-400, 5-9344) shows inconsistency - none has strung together the kind of progressive sequence Private Project has shown. Thunder Goddess is respectable (6452) but hasn't won yet and carries a big weight. Private Project gets in lighter, has winning form fresh in the memory, and the drop in class/grade suits a filly on the up. Draw 6 is workable at Lingfield AW over this trip. This looks like a mare improving with racing who is well handicapped relative to this modest field, and the market may be underestimating her given the bigger names carry more weight but less recent proof of form.