Lingfield (AW) 5:02 Result
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Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 915323 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 645 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 8967 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionThunder GoddessConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Thunder Goddess is lightly raced (form 645) but has the highest OR (59, joint with Minerality) among these low-grade sorts and is clearly progressive - each run has shown improvement in a general sense with a solid recent 4th. Andrew Balding is a top yard even at this level and William Carver takes the ride for a stable that generally targets these AW handicaps with well-schooled types. She's a 3yo taking on more experienced but modest older/rated horses, and 3yos with fresh scope often improve past this grade of rivals. Minerality is the obvious market rival on similar OR but his form figures (8967) show no top-3 finish in a much longer sequence and he's had a big absence (47 days) - less evidence of leaving that form behind. Time To Sparkle has been running well (form 915323) and rates on satisfactory placing form but has already shown a couple of blips (9, 1) suggesting inconsistency, and a subpar draw isn't a major issue at 1m2f. Jimmy Mark and Havana Tobouggaloo are held on best form and carry top weight/low class marks. Backer Bilk's recent 235-88 shows fair placing but no win threat evident. Overall this looks a moderate Class 6 field where the classiest/best-bred and most correctly progressive type, Thunder Goddess, holds a solid physical/ratings edge and looks the one to beat, particularly with a big yard's polish and fitness. She looks the strongest match of ability, trajectory and stable class for this grade.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 5-2527 | — | |||
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 235-88 | — | |||
| 4 | 2 | 4 | 52 | -25546 | — | |||
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 59 | 8967 | — | |||
| 6 | 4 | ★ | 3 | 59 | 645 | — | ||
| Thunder Goddess is lightly raced (form 645) but has the highest OR (59, joint with Minerality) among these low-grade sorts and is clearly progressive - each run has shown improvement in a general sense with a solid recent 4th. | ||||||||
| 7 | 1 | ✓ | 3 | 57 | 915323 | — | ||
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 53 | 330685 | — | |||
| NR | 8 | 3 | 54 | -21531 | — | |||