Kilbeggan 4:40 Result
Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 4326-2 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 0-142 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 2 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionSplendid FellowConfidence 4/5Won ✓
Splendid Fellow is the class act here, holding an official rating (119) well clear of the only other rated runner in the field, and from a yard (De Bromhead) that excels with maiden hurdlers. His form figures 4326-2 show consistent placed efforts against similar or stronger maiden company, and the last run was a clear second, suggesting he's crying out for a win. A near four-month absence is a slight concern, but this is a small, likely below-par maiden field where his rating edge should tell, and De Bromhead/O'Keeffe are a sharp combination who wouldn't target a race like this without a genuine chance. Rokanako (0-142) is the obvious market rival with a solid recent 2nd 12 days ago and looks fit and progressive, but his profile of finishing plenty of lengths behind well-regarded types in his form line makes me prefer the resumption class of Splendid Fellow. It's All Clear (54-333) is another with solid recent placed form and a wind operation (tongue-tie), but three straight thirds suggest he may find winning hard against this level of the improving Splendid Fellow. The rest are unproven, out of form, or stepping up in class/distance without solid evidence. Splendid Fellow's rating, trainer power and dropped-in placed form make him the value win choice even without an explicit market price advantage - his class stands out in a moderate field.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 5 | – | 7 | — | |||
| 2 | 0 | 5 | – | 0/F-0 | — | |||
| 3 | 0 | 5 | – | 54-333 | — | |||
| 4 | 0 | 5 | – | 0-142 | — | |||
| 5 | 0 | ✓ ★ | 5 | 119 | 4326-2 | — | ||
| Splendid Fellow is the class act here, holding an official rating (119) well clear of the only other rated runner in the field, and from a yard (De Bromhead) that excels with maiden hurdlers. | ||||||||
| 6 | 0 | 5 | – | P- | — | |||
| 7 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 5565 | — | |||
| 8 | 0 | 4 | – | 2 | — | |||