Kempton (AW) 8:21 Result

Form figures 811-31 show a colt in fine form, winning twice recently and placing 3rd, with clear improvement each run. Only 3yo carrying a competitive OR of 76 off relatively light weight (126lbs), suggesting more scope than several rivals who are already exposed handicappers at similar marks. Sire Ardad and damsire Acclamation both strong influences for AW sprint speed. 79 days since last run is a slight concern but trainer Mark Usher can freshen horses well and the George/style of form (consistent placing then winning) suggests he's up to this class. Draw 11 is wide but at 6f Kempton width isn't overly punishing, especially with a strong traveling type who can be positioned. Main market rivals: Aigeas and Wezzeer both on OR 85 top weight, but Aigeas's form figures (18-051) are moderate barring one big win, and Wezzeer hasn't won since finishing 3rd two runs back, now stepping up in trip/class questions remain. Caviar Cowboy wearing hood, consistent but yet to land a big one this campaign (221254) - solid but not progressive. From The Hip's upward trajectory, lightly-raced profile, and the fact he's dropped in class/weight from a rating that could still be conservative make him the value angle here. Expect market to underestimate him due to the layoff, but the profile of an ascending, well-bred, speed-blood 3yo colt fits this sprint well.