Kelso 1:40 Result
Stay For The After Party 'national Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 53- | — | |||
| 2 | — | 31- | — | |||
| 3 | — | 4464-7 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionCape WarriorConfidence 4/5Didn't win
This looks a weak, unexposed maiden hurdle and Cape Warrior's form line stands out: two seconds and a recent win (22-2), with his latest run only 38 days ago - freshest in the field by far. Consistent placing figures suggest a solid, progressive sort who has been knocking on the door and has now got his head in front. Micky Hammond/Sean Quinlan is a solid combination, and the fact he's already won/placed multiple times against similar maidens gives him a clear formful edge over rivals who are mostly stepping up from a single run or are quite stale (193-249 days off). Royal March and Eazy Breezy both have single-run form (2- and 31-) from over six months ago, meaningful fitness query marks, while Treshnish Point's solitary run reads as a non-finish/well-beaten effort (0). Oor Wish has been well held in a string of runs (4464-7) and looks to lack the necessary class edge. Cape Warrior's racing manners, recent activity and proven placing ability at this a trip make him the most reliable each-way/win proposition in a race lacking depth. He should go off favourite or close to it, but the alternative lightly-raced sorts carry too much risk given lengthy layoffs, so the formful, fit, improving runner is the right side to take.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 5 | – | 31- | — | |||
| 2 | 0 | 5 | – | 2- | — | |||
| 3 | 0 | 5 | – | 0 | — | |||
| 4 | 0 | ★ | 4 | – | 22-2 | — | ||
| This looks a weak, unexposed maiden hurdle and Cape Warrior's form line stands out: two seconds and a recent win (22-2), with his latest run only 38 days ago - freshest in the field by far. | ||||||||
| 5 | 0 | ✓ | 4 | – | 53- | — | ||
| 6 | 0 | 6 | – | 4464-7 | — | |||