Curragh 2:50 Result

Sun Goddess stands clear on ratings (OR 114, some 9-10lb clear of this field) and has the strongest recent form figures (212111), including a run of four straight wins. She's trained by Aidan O'Brien who has a formidable record in this contest, and Ryan Moore's booking over the stable's other runners (Alpha, Ibelieveicanfly) signals where the confidence lies. Her sire Sioux Nation was a top sprinter-miler and she has already proven herself at 7f level with authority. The one query is the widest draw (7) but at the Curragh over 7f that's rarely decisive, and her class edge should allow her to overcome it. Green Empress (221) and Dancing Destiny (134122) both have solid but not spectacular form, and neither matches Sun Goddess's rating or recent scintillating placings. Alpha has useful Group placing form but hasn't shown the same dominance. Ibelieveicanfly's form (424144) is exposed and inconsistent despite the family and quick backup run. Sun Goddess looks the genuine yardstick and value proposition given she should start favourite but not prohibitively short given the strength/depth of this Group 1 field on paper — the rating gap is bigger than the market gap likely suggests.