Carlisle 5:17 Result

Form figures 132261 show a horse in tremendous shape, winning twice recently and consistently placing when not winning. The step up in class hasn't stopped him progressing, and he's race-fit with a run just 16 days ago. Blinkers seem to be sharpening him. Draw 4 is workable at Carlisle over 7f. OR 71 looks fair given he's still winning at this level, and Rowan Scott/Tristan Davidson's yard clearly have him firing. Compares favourably to Leopards Rock (3235 - hasn't won recently, drawn wide-ish) and Sandy Craic (improving but yet to convert placed efforts into a win at this trip/class). Monsieur Kodi has the highest OR but his recent form (317424) is fading with a wide draw of 11 to overcome, and 44 days off is a slight concern. They All Know Me's course/distance form is decent but a string of 8s before a recent win is inconsistent. Runninsonofagun's trajectory (1-3-2-2-6-1) shows he's peaking now and looks the most solid combination of current form, fitness and suitability. Backing him as the horse most likely to be flagged by connections given the booking of a in-form young jockey and quick regressive turnaround.