Brighton 2:20 Result

Sea Of Charm sets the standard on official rating (58, some 6lb clear of the field) and her recent form reads 676322 - two solid seconds last time out fresh off a break, clearly working into form and racing consistently at a competitive level all season. She carries a 9lb penalty for that rating but even at 156lbs she's proven at this 1m4f trip and handling this grade well, with a runner-up finish just 8 days ago showing she's fit, in form and unlikely to have regressed. The addition of the visor is a positive intent signal from the yard. Draw 3 is workable at Brighton's testing, undulating track. Amateur jockey Henry Main has been aboard for the recent progressive sequence, so there's continuity in the partnership. The rest of the field are all rated 45-52, a good chunk below her, and none shows the same upward trajectory - Highland Harvey's form figures look superficially strong (352133) but he's dropping to face much stiffer opposition on paper by rating, and this is a falsely tight-looking field where the top-rated horse with the best recent form deserves favouritism. I'm not badly against the market here, but I make Sea Of Charm a stronger cut of the race than a token favourite - she looks value if returned at a big price given the two big rivals are workmanlike handicappers at best.