Bellewstown 1:00 Result

Cromane is the class act here on OR (74, top-rated) and her recent form reads 5-7-0-1, with the 1 being a recent win last time out - she's progressive and fit having run just 14 days ago. She carries top weight deservedly and the form figures show she's going the right way, finishing with a win after a 7 and a 0 as she found her form. Draw 2 is workable on this track. Ippy (73 OR) is the obvious market rival but her form of 5-0-3 is weaker with a longer layoff (27 days) and the form figures don't show the improvement curve Cromane has. Violet Be Humble has some finishing improvement (4-5-5) but is 4lbs lower rated and unproven as a winner at this level. The rest are considerably held on ratings - Scarlet Dream, Green Sparkle and Sister Nancy are all 64-66 OR with inconsistent or green form (0s in the figures suggesting non-completions or well beaten efforts), while Dropping Dimes is race-fit but rated well below this field at 51 and stepping up in class. Soft-to-heavy ground is a leveller but Cromane's physical scope and pedigree (Territories/Montjeu damsire) suggest she'll handle testing ground fine, and this trip of 1m suits a filly building on a recent victory. The quick confirmed form and rating edge make her the one to beat, and I don't see this as a vulnerable favourite - she looks the genuine case in a moderate nursery.