Bath 4:00 Result

Just Adair carries the top weight for good reason - his recent form of 28-226 shows he's been running consistently well and knocking on the door, with a couple of seconds in there. He's by Ghaiyyath out of a Champs Elysees mare, a pedigree that should stay this 1m6f trip well, and the step up to this longer distance looks likely to suit given his sire's stamina influence and the fact he's already shown he stays middle distances with those placed efforts. Jonjo & AJ O'Neill is a powerful yard and Pat Cosgrave takes over in the saddle, a booking that suggests confidence. The tongue-strap first time addition could also be the key to finding the last bit of improvement to get his head in front having been placed rather than winning of late. His OR of 53 is competitive without being top of the pile, and none of his rivals show the same level of consistent, progressive form. Trooper (54-749) is capable on his day but the '9' and '4' in that line show inconsistency, while Basilette's mixed form figures don't inspire as much confidence as Just Adair's string of top-3 finishes. This looks the strongest form in the race and he should go well fresh off a break of just over a month.